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Mexico's October inflation rose to 3.75% after Banxico had cut rates to 6.25%. The sequence shows why remaining inside a target band is not the same as reaching the goal.
Two major Brazilian financial institutions now expect growth of just 0.3%–0.4% in 2027. Their sharply revised forecasts also point to higher inflation, but they are predictions, not measured economic results.
Mexico's central bank lowered its policy rate to 6.25% in a divided vote even as it raised near-term inflation forecasts. The message was a one-off adjustment, not a promise of more cuts.
Sweden’s Riksbank raised its policy rate by a quarter point to 2%, effective 11 November, and left the door open to further increases despite September headline CPIF inflation of 1.5%.
Australia raised its cash rate to 4.85% after a 6–3 vote, the fifth increase in 2026. The RBA says domestic capacity pressures—not just expensive oil—help explain the decision.
Economists expect the Bank of England to lift Bank Rate from 3.75% to 4.00% on 5 November. But the vote, new forecasts and debate over energy-driven second-round inflation may matter more than the quarter-point headline.
August output was flat and September's early estimate points down, but Canada's central bank just raised its policy rate. The tension is between weak activity now and inflation it expects to persist.