ECMWF’s El Niño Forecast Moves Its Peak to January as Climate Risks Extend Into 2027
ECMWF’s latest seasonal run moves the projected Niño 3.4 peak from December to January, while Copernicus gives 2026 a 20% chance of tying or surpassing 2024’s heat record. WMO warns that El Niño-related warmth and rainfall deficits could intensify pressure on Southeast Asian health, farms, water supplies and fire prevention.
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